Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.006625 0.007393 0.008230 0.009213 0.010337 0.011588 0.013090
2025-06-01 0.005342 0.006374 0.007591 0.009143 0.011086 0.013458 0.016604
2025-06-08 0.004510 0.005613 0.006983 0.008829 0.011281 0.014473 0.019015
2025-06-15 0.004045 0.005210 0.006719 0.008846 0.011819 0.015907 0.022093
2025-06-22 0.003796 0.005041 0.006713 0.009170 0.012768 0.017974 0.026327
2025-06-29 0.003432 0.004670 0.006382 0.008983 0.012940 0.018914 0.028984
2025-07-06 0.003128 0.004347 0.006080 0.008790 0.013058 0.019756 0.031576
2025-07-13 0.002919 0.004140 0.005919 0.008782 0.013443 0.021044 0.035082
2025-07-20 0.002797 0.004047 0.005915 0.009009 0.014219 0.023052 0.040161
2025-07-27 0.002617 0.003850 0.005731 0.008925 0.014457 0.024161 0.043747
2025-08-03 0.002474 0.003699 0.005605 0.008918 0.014822 0.025525 0.048045
2025-08-10 0.002325 0.003526 0.005430 0.008808 0.014983 0.026525 0.051759
2025-08-17 0.002221 0.003424 0.005369 0.008907 0.015570 0.028475 0.058003
2025-08-24 0.002094 0.003275 0.005222 0.008841 0.015843 0.029862 0.063335
2025-08-31 0.001939 0.003069 0.004959 0.008538 0.015621 0.030195 0.066269
2025-09-07 0.001851 0.002970 0.004874 0.008555 0.016033 0.031922 0.072968
2025-09-14 0.001816 0.002958 0.004941 0.008867 0.017083 0.035206 0.084432
2025-09-21 0.001711 0.002818 0.004765 0.008687 0.017072 0.036075 0.089620
2025-09-28 0.001614 0.002685 0.004594 0.008502 0.017028 0.036857 0.094752
2025-10-05 0.001548 0.002605 0.004515 0.008494 0.017376 0.038640 0.103288
2025-10-12 0.001516 0.002583 0.004544 0.008712 0.018263 0.041919 0.117354
2025-10-19 0.001449 0.002493 0.004436 0.008631 0.018440 0.043385 0.125995
2025-10-26 0.001396 0.002425 0.004366 0.008624 0.018795 0.045390 0.137067